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From now until February 24, Vulture is doing deep dives on the major Oscars categories.

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Today is Best Director, where Alfonso Cuaron has enjoyed a commanding lead since late August.

Can anyone overtake the Mexican auteur?

Read about the contenders, from the least to most likely to take home the gold.

Even without a win, hes a welcome addition to the club.

And that hes never won an Oscar in competition?

(He got an honorary award a few years back.)

Check out Vultures full, finalOscars 2019 predictionslist.

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