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A movie rarely wins Best Picture without a Best Cast nomination at the SAGs.

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The movie whose director triumphs at the DGAs almost always takes home Best Picture.

So, too, does the movie that wins the PGAs.

And the films run a clean, controversy-free campaign, helped along by Netflixs mountains of cash.

More concerning for TeamGreen Bookare the films notable snubs.

On their own, each is survivable; just look atShape of WaterorArgo.

Put them together, though, and it might be tough.

But if its such a strong contender, shouldnt it have won something by now?

6.ViceEverything I wrote aboutBlacKkKlansmanapplies toViceas well, with the exception of no Best Cast nod at the SAGs.

Check out Vultures full, finalOscars 2019 predictionslist.

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